I think short of a real catastrophic performance, she stands a good chance at a nomination anyways. The Academy love musicians who (successfully) turn to acting, and after their lowest rated telethon to date they’ll be looking to pull in star power with big names. After being nominated for practically everything for A Star is Born, she’s already leading on the right foot for this one. The acting circles have taken to her far better than than I ever thought they would after the (some would say undeserved) golden globe win for AHS. She’s definitely proving her chops and getting the right people on board.