I liked-didn't-love 3B so I'm hoping to god it isn't setting up to suddenly steamroll everything in its path, Birdman-style. I have to keep reminding myself just how far off the Oscars still are since this is a late year. The nominating period only opened up a few days ago so really at this point we're all just talking out of our asses. (Can't wait to watch the whisper campaigns and thinkpieces hit hard in the next couple weeks...) I can't say I really expected Get Out to play as well to BAFTA (Actor and Screenplay noms feel like a good sign, actually) and I'm not entirely surprised that Lady Bird didn't either. BAFTA in recent years hasn't been as accurate an Oscar predictor but still cannot be overlooked. Those who do feel like nomination locks: Oldman Chalamet McDormand Ronan Robbie Hawkins Janney Metcalf Dafoe Rockwell Lots still open. The three Supporting Actress slots left feel like a real crapshoot. I think Kaluuya will be nominated for Actor but not entirely certain. Also feels like a year that Picture and Director will split again. Already feels down to del Toro vs. Nolan. The Post feels dead as a doornail.