This is the first award that has significant overlap with the Oscar voters.Good for Mikey for getting a major win this season, but there is no way Demi doesn’t win the SAG and Oscar. I just…don’t see either scenario happening.
There’s overlap, sure, but as recently as 2023 did neither Lead performance winner at the BAFTAs win at the Oscars.This is the first award that has significant overlap with the Oscar voters.
So effing happy and extremely deserved!!! She's the movie!![]()
Deserved
Yes, but that makes it more predictive than any of the previous awards Demi’s won. Last year I think visual effects was the only award they both have that didn’t match.There’s overlap, sure, but as recently as 2023 did neither Lead performance winner at the BAFTAs win at the Oscars.
And other years it’s not as predictive, like Everything Everywhere All At Once winning one BAFTA out of ten noms vs. seven Oscar wins. Stranger things have happened, but I’d be gobsmacked if Demi didn’t win the SAG, and I think all major awards, sans a BAFTA, would put her in prime position for the Oscar.Yes, but that makes it more predictive than any of the previous awards Demi’s won. Last year I think visual effects was the only award they both have that didn’t match.
We’ll see what happens at SAG too, but Mikey is definitely in with a shot.
The way I've become a Conclave stan in the same way I rode hard for TÁR in 2022 is wild ff. Happy for the Best Film BAFTAs win!