Oscars Race 2024-25

Angelina needs the win tonight. If she manages an Oscar nom, I actually think it sets her up for the win, oddly enough.

I do think most people are somehow dismissing Mikey over and over even though she’s sweeping so many regionals and society awards. She’s not my favorite in this mix, but if she were just about anyone else, she’d be the clear favorite.
 
I do get the feeling that Angelina could sneak the Oscar win, as the more conservative Oscar voters could opt for her over, say, Mikey or KSG. Especially if they go down the Lord Of The Rings path with Wicked and decide to reward Cynthia/part 2 in general next year.
 
Angelina needs the win tonight. If she manages an Oscar nom, I actually think it sets her up for the win, oddly enough.

I do think most people are somehow dismissing Mikey over and over even though she’s sweeping so many regionals and society awards. She’s not my favorite in this mix, but if she were just about anyone else, she’d be the clear favorite.

I don’t think anyone is dismissing Mikey. She been the overall front runner since Anora hit Cannes and she has won the majority of the critics awards. She’s great in the movie but we all have different preferences. Mikey would be my third choice after Demi and Marianne. Mikey is young and will have plenty of other chances if she doesn’t win. As these iconic female actresses get older, those chances dim much quicker. In the end of it all, these awards are meaningless overall but we still hope our faves get the recognition they deserve for the work they do.

I do have to chuckle how year after year, the male actors races are always sewn up so quickly but the female races are always nailbiters to the finish line. Hollywood needs to take further notes, women are doing the real work on screen.
 
Angelina needs the win tonight. If she manages an Oscar nom, I actually think it sets her up for the win, oddly enough.

I do think most people are somehow dismissing Mikey over and over even though she’s sweeping so many regionals and society awards. She’s not my favorite in this mix, but if she were just about anyone else, she’d be the clear favorite.

I don't think people are dismissing her per se - but around Globes time is when we see if the critics and festivals actually matter. A film can win regional awards and critics groups across the board, and still blank at the televised awards.

Anora, The Brutalist, and Emilia Perez are those films this year.
 

LTG

he/him
I don't think people are dismissing her per se - but around Globes time is when we see if the critics and festivals actually matter. A film can win regional awards and critics groups across the board, and still blank at the televised awards.

Anora, The Brutalist, and Emilia Perez are those films this year.
I’m still worried about Emilia Pérez smashing. Maybe not best picture, but with the sweep at the European Film Awards, there’s definitely industry support.
 
So its the Globes tonight? I never know the dates of these things.

Hoping for Sebastian to win one of his categories but I think he has next to no chance realistically. Still, the double nom is likely win enough for him. He's really done the work in the past few years to pick projects that really show people how great he really is and using his Marvel fame to nab juicy roles.
 
Best Actress is such a juicy category to speculate on this year. I think Mikey, Cynthia and Karla are locks, with Angelina a pretty sure bet. Marianne, Nicole and Demi will battle it out for that final spot, but I do feel Nicole has the leg-up out of the three.
 

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