PopJustice News Network (PJNN): U.S. Politics [Hell] Channel

CaliDevotion

CaliDevotion

I can barely handle how depressing it is to live here. They're now coming for student visas (which is how I got to be here in the first place), next is work visas, and when it's marriage based I won't even have a way back ... I didn't think it was possible to hate someone this much.
 
Danger Zone

Danger Zone

He/Him
Not sure if this has been posted, but the most exhaustive autopsy of 2024 was finally released.

Tl;dr:
Harris basically did slightly worse with every single demographic group than Biden 2020, except college educated women.

Turnout and support drops were mitigated in the battleground states (vs. safe states) which may have contributed to Trump's popular vote victory (he charged turnout in red states while blue states saw huge drop offs in support). This suggests that the campaigning in those states did make a difference.

Young voters, especially young men, shifted hard to right across all demographics.

Voters of color in general shifted to the right across all age groups and demographics as well.

Irregular voters (i.e. people who voted in only 1 or two of the last 6 elections) were won decisively by Trump.
 
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HorseTears

HorseTears

Danger Zone said:
Not sure if this has been posted, but the most exhaustive autopsy of 2024 was finally released.

Tl;dr:
Harris basically did slightly worse with every single demographic group than Biden 2020, except college educated women.

Turnout and support drops were mitigated in the battleground states (vs. safe states) which may have contributed to Trump's popular vote victory (he charged turnout in red states while blue states saw huge drop offs in support). This suggests that the campaigning in those states did make a difference.

Young voters, especially young men, shifted hard to right across all demographics.

Voters of color in general shifted to the right across all age groups and demographics as well.

Irregular voters (i.e. people who voted in only 1 or two of the last 6 elections) were won decisively by Trump.
Click to expand...

Appreciate the summary. Bookmarking the analysis to read later.
 
Hyrulian

Hyrulian

Grouping Pennsylvania in the Midwest is INSANE. Let's just start classifying New York, New Jersey, and Maryland as the Midwest too! I can't believe these people get paid money to be fucking clueless.
 
bakerboy92

bakerboy92

Hyrulian said:
Grouping Pennsylvania in the Midwest is INSANE. Let's just start classifying New York, New Jersey, and Maryland as the Midwest too! I can't believe these people get paid money to be fucking clueless.
Click to expand...
To be fair, Pennsylvania is a pretty tricky state to put in one category. Philadelphia and southeastern PA obviously feel very much part of the New York-Jersey fabric, but the western part of the state around Pittsburgh is giving salt-of-the-earth Ohioan and the part of the state I grew up in, in that “Pennsyltucky” share, has a lot in common with the Southern Appalachian states.
 
Hyrulian

Hyrulian

bakerboy92 said:
To be fair, Pennsylvania is a pretty tricky state to put in one category. Philadelphia and southeastern PA obviously feel very much part of the New York-Jersey fabric, but the western part of the state around Pittsburgh is giving salt-of-the-earth Ohioan and the part of the state I grew up in, in that “Pennsyltucky” share, has a lot in common with the Southern Appalachian states.
Click to expand...
I get that but that's true of any rural part of most states, especially New York and the Maryland panhandle. Like, calling a state that essentially touches the Atlantic where most of the population lives/one of the 13 colonies and calling it Midwest is lunacy but I realize nothing really matters anymore nn.
 
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Sanctuary

Sanctuary

he/him
Danger Zone said:
Not sure if this has been posted, but the most exhaustive autopsy of 2024 was finally released.

Tl;dr:
Harris basically did slightly worse with every single demographic group than Biden 2020, except college educated women.

Turnout and support drops were mitigated in the battleground states (vs. safe states) which may have contributed to Trump's popular vote victory (he charged turnout in red states while blue states saw huge drop offs in support). This suggests that the campaigning in those states did make a difference.

Young voters, especially young men, shifted hard to right across all demographics.

Voters of color in general shifted to the right across all age groups and demographics as well.

Irregular voters (i.e. people who voted in only 1 or two of the last 6 elections) were won decisively by Trump.
Click to expand...

Sister, you missed the most interesting part of Catalist's findings:

8hj8Ems.png


I know girlies are shy or resistant to the idea that Dems ultimately suffered from an enthusiasm gap cause the realization that progressive policy is the solution is the path that's going to face the most institutional resistance and thus the hardest to do despite being the most necessary, but it's actually a relief to know those maps like "75% of the country moved to the right" with giant red arrows is in itself also a mirage.

And that much of it in practice is the (good!) realization more people will vote if you give them more ways to and that (sadly) cutting ways to vote will stop people from voting, while Dems ultimately suffered not from some huge ideological shift with Gen Z being the new Reaganites but so many of their ideologically-aligned Gen Z / new voters effectively choosing the couch over of a deeply unpopular Democratic Party.
 
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