Yeah there's no way Kenin's draw qualifies as a "cakewalk" at all. Kanepi is the exact sort of seasoned big hitter would will relish taking on the defending champ and has the game to sweep her off the court. Vekic is pretty much a walking bye since at least the resumption of play post-Covid, but boring Brady is definitely another threat lurking for Sofia. And drawing someone who double bagelled her a few months ago in her QF is far from ideal too.
I was definitely disappointed seeing Barty's draw. Seems very doable for her early on, although an inspired Kontaveit would have the game to beat her, I don't see it happening. Surely Pliskova will go out to Danielle Collins in round two in that quarter. I'm starting to feel Pliskova may be ready to depart her perma-top 10, technically a contender status.
Ship has well and truly sailed for Konta to the point that I wouldn't even feel a need to analyse her draw. Nor would I want to ever again after rooting for her a bit during that French Open only to witness one of the worst performances I've ever watched. Gauff v Svitolina will be interesting in a way. Be good for Coco to play a big match against someone who won't hit herself out of the tournament. I'm a borderline hater of both so I can enjoy the schadenfreude either way. Vika really could make another good run here. I really hope Sofia can make semis at least, as a fan and for the tour's benefit.
Naomi's draw is an utter hellscape. I'd be surprised to see her body and mind hold up through the amount of tennis that draw will take unless she comes in in inspired form and wipes opponents aside easily. I'd be happy with a lot of the main contenders (Naomi, Petra, Bianca, Muguruza) on paper from that part of the draw winning the tournament really if it holds up and we see some great matches. Super excited to see Andreescu back in action regardless.
For the last section I just hope we get to see Sabalenka/Serena and Swiatek/Halep. Sabalenka I will settle for nothing less than a hard fought loss against Serena at the VERY least. Too much tour success to keep bombing out at slams to nobodies. If she fumbles this she's officially in the Pliskvoa category for me. Serena/Swiatek would be fun too. Or Serena/Halep after Wimbledon final.
Basically I have even less clue than usual who wins this one.