I don't know, this isn't a new position for Simona, where it's right in front of her and by strength of resume, her consistency as a player, and the lack of experience from her opponents, she should be the favorite but then she trips up.
She easily beat Anisimova a couple weeks ago on grass, but I think it could be different on Centre Court where Amanda will really want it, and if not the quarters, a potential semi against Rybakina could be dicey. She gives her all in slam finals, but it still seems a long way off to me.